Conflicts In The Caucasus Olga Vassilieva |
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Introduction Perspectives
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Perspectives Background Photo: K.Lapin 1997
A few will argue that peace in the Caucasus can be achieved only by the participation of Caucasians in its support. External forces and peacemaking are able to stop a military stage of conflict but not to resolve it. Moreover, external intervention can aggravate conflict in future because it supports mutual suspicions in using the external forces in advantages of an opposite side. The importance of cooperative movements for conflict control and peace management is recognized by almost everybody in the Caucasus. The common, Caucasian identity along with socio-economic reasons could create as a basis for integration. At the same time, more than the ten-year experience has revealed a little progress in the question how common identity can promote the cooperation in the region. The
development of regional organizations is complicated by the different
expectations of all possible participants and the lack of mutual trust
caused not only by deep contradictions between Caucasian peoples but
also by ill-elaborated activity of external factors. Realization of any
model of the regional, and especially - the Caucasian, community
requires essential self-limitation from every participant and laborious
search of a compromise, to which Caucasian politicians seem not to be
ready. Caucasian historians have treated the common history different
ways and promoted negative images of neighboring peoples. Socio-economic
situation in the region remains a hard. In such conditions, policy of
international community towards conflict settlement in the Caucasus and
the Caucasian integration become of great importance. Historically,
external factors have significantly influenced the stability and common
identity in the Caucasus. It was the Russian invasion that promoted
regional solidarity in the XIX and at the end of the XX century. At the
same time, the competition of different external factors (Turkey and
Iran, Russia and Turkey) promoted the division of the Caucasus during
the centuries. The
disintegration of the Soviet Union, after two centuries of the Russian
domination, led to the involvement different external factors into the
regional affairs, first of all - neighboring Turkey and Iran. Besides,
it put forward a question about the role of Russian in the region. Can
Russia be considered an external or internal factor in the Caucasus,
remains an actual question. Politically and geographically the North
Caucasus, but not the Transcaucasus, is a part of the Russian
Federation. The actions undertaken by North-Caucasian peoples (the
participation in Abkhasian-Georgian and Georgian-Ossetian conflicts)
have led to often acquisitions of Russian intervention into the affairs
of independent states. Russian military forces often involved not only
interethnic conflict but also inter-political struggle in the
Transcaucasian states (e.g., Georgia in 1992). The leaders of
Transcaucasian states, in turn, involved in direct negotiations with
political elites of North Caucasian autonomies of Russia. The
relationships among neighboring countries and peoples, which became
"foreign" in 1991, had had a long history within the
boundaries of a unified state - first the Russian Empire, and afterwards
the Soviet Union. These relations are to a great extent defined by
common historical experiences, the impact of traditional values,
ethnical ties between peoples of the North Caucasus and Transcaucasus (Abkhazs
and Adygs, Ossetians, Avars, Lezgins, etc.), the popular myths, the
self-images and the stereotypes, and even personal contacts among the
members of the Communist Party Central Committee Politburo (Eltsin,
Shevardnadze and Aliev). All these factors has defined modern
“foreign” policy not only Russia but also former Soviet Republics in
the Caucasus. Western
countries that had abstained from active involvement in the regional
affairs began to reveal some interests in the region - from
peacebuilding in conflict zones to oil potential of the region. The West
has no negative image among peoples in the Caucasus (because of
its traditional remoteness). It could promote peace in the region.
However, the West has no unique approach to such issues of international
relations as policy towards weak states, the contradiction between the
rights for self-determination and inviolability of borders and others. The
multiplication of external factors and a lack of the coordination among
them can provoke additional grievance, suspicions and complicate the
consent among local politicians. All Caucasian peoples have different
expectations from external intervention: ones talked about the right on
the self-determination, others - about inviolable borders. Georgian and
Azerbaijan governments are seeking for external support to restore the
control over rebellious autonomies. Autonomies, in turn, hope on the
recognition of their independent status, since the legacy of newly
independent states are based only on the empire past in the czarist
Russia and the Soviet Union. Peacekeeping potential of international
organizations is also restricted in most conflict zones. Some
participants of conflict welcome international cooperation in a conflict
settlement, their opponents reject international intervention. Explaining
why outsider powers should care about ethnic war, even though these wars
do not create direct threats to the strategic interests, Michael Brown
defined several reasons. Ethnic wars “poses a direct challenge to
important international norms of behavior,” they create “chain
reaction effects,” and problems of refugees are among them.
International community, not only neighboring states, might be
interested in a policy promoting peace in the Caucasus. Support to the
integrating efforts can be one of the main applications of such policy. Countries
involved in the Caucasian affairs (the West, Russia, Turkey and Iran)
should coordinate their political and economic activities and avoid
fostering competition among the Caucasian elites. The cooperative
efforts are in need of the technological and information support about
experiences and best practices in resolving arising problems and
tensions. Considering the necessity of multi-level integration, support
of non-governmental sector networks might be an essential element of
international assistantship.
During
this decade, the political elites in the autonomies of the North
Caucasus began moving towards consociational forms of democracy. For
many reasons, however, this tendency is weak and controversial. The
governments need special expertise and help on the development of
consociational democracy in developing (poor) countries. This expertise
might have implementation in many other regions. The idea of
all-Caucasian integration, arising difficulties and successes should be
discussed widely during international conferences on the regional
problems. At the same time, local politicians and political scientists
should get an opportunity to study the world experience on relevant
issues. Obviously,
however, that the Caucasian integration will be demand several decades
or even more. But this approach for peace development in this region has
no alternatives.
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